By Stanley R. Sloan
In September, the NATO allies
will meet at the summit to discuss issues ranging from the end of NATO’s combat
mission in Afghanistan to the reinforcement of NATO’s eastern flank.
The agenda and areas of
consensus will mostly be prepared by national officials and the NATO staff well
in advance of the meeting. Most likely not on the agenda, however, is a
philosophical but critical question that hangs over the alliance: does the
‘West’ still exist?
During the Cold War, it was
generally accepted that ‘the West’ consisted of the transatlantic democracies
and a number of nations around the world that accepted, at least in principle,
the North Atlantic Treaty’s support for ‘democracy, individual liberty and the
rule of law.’ Members of the alliance have taken different paths toward
national application of these principles, and they never were fully agreed on
all foreign policy or defence issues.
But they all understood that
‘the West’ did not include the countries that denied democratic choices to
their people, severely limited individual liberties, and put rule of law to the
side.
At the end of the Cold War, the
question raised about NATO was whether or not such an alliance would remain
relevant without an existential threat formerly posed by the Soviet Union.
Populations and politicians are strongly motivated by fear – not so much by hope.
The new democracies in Central and Eastern Europe rushed to join NATO and then
the European Union – the two main institutions giving structure to the concept
of ‘the West.’
They believed that these
sheltering roofs would help protect them against a Russian reassertion of
power. To earn their invitations, these countries were required to pledge that
they would build their domestic political and economic systems around the core
provided by Western values. It was hoped that Russia, too, would embrace the
values that motivated ‘Western’ nations.
European states were so hopeful
that they invited Moscow to join the Council of Europe, the organisation
designed to be the protector of human rights across the continent.
The realisation now is that
Russia’s culture, society and leadership have never truly become committed to
joining the West, even though many younger Russians act as if this shapes their
hopes for the future.
Meanwhile, Vladimir Putin seems
determined to advance Russian national interests as well as his own dominant
role in leading a Russian revival – fuelled by copious quantities of energy
sources needed by the old and new European ‘Western’ nations.
The 17 July destruction of the
Malaysian commercial flight with 298 on board, apparently by the Moscow-backed
separatists, could move Putin’s adventures to a new and dangerous stage. It
also challenges the United States and European leaders to shape an appropriate
response.
Now, as allied officials work
to prepare the summit, the regions to the alliance’s east and south face more
turbulence than at any time since the end of the Cold War. From Ukraine and
Russia to Syria and Iraq, virtually every piece on the international chessboard
seems in play. This instability has emerged at a time when the Obama
Administration has been reducing United States (US) forces deployed in Europe,
the Middle East and Central Asia.
Many observers wonder who will
fill the vacuums left by America’s receding roles. Some have even alleged that
the Administration’s desire to limit US exposure to foreign entanglements is
destabilising the international system.
Does the US still aspire to
‘leading the West’ or has that burden become too heavy for Washington?
In the meantime, Europe is of
little help. Internal European divisions mean that no European government, not
even the one led by Angela Merkel in economic powerhouse Germany, can provide a
clear definition of and support for a European consensus on dealing with the
currently troubled world.
In addition, US leadership of
‘the West’ has been called into question by the controversy surrounding the
National Security Agency’s intelligence-gathering activities and now by the
arrest of a German national on charges of spying for the US.
Recent polling in Germany
suggests that the image of the US has been seriously tarnished and that a
majority of Germans no longer see the US as a model to emulate. Some see this
as opening a door for even greater Russian influence on Germany in the future.
The German historian Heinrich
August Winkler, lamenting that many Germans have ‘this irritating desire for
equidistance [between Russia and the West]’, recently observed that ‘a strong
minority is questioning vital elements of our Western orientation namely our
memberships in NATO and the European Union. I find that unsettling’.
With all this said, what best
characterises ‘the West’ is sometimes hard to pin down. Certainly the West is
still defined by the values of democracy, individual liberty and the rule of
law.
But it also has been defined by
the belief in and commitments to free market capitalist economies – the
so-called Western economic system. Here is the bind.
The profit motivations in the
Western system – for corporation and countries alike – sometimes act directly
against value-based definitions of ‘the West.’ But NATO nations have discovered
most recently that the real world of economic interests (in Russian natural gas
and emerging markets, for example) produces pressures to deal with countries
whose approaches to governance and international affairs frequently run counter
to the values embraced by the West.
Nations deciding to compromise
articulated values is not a new phenomenon. During the Cold War, the West was
defined in contradistinction to communist systems of governance and economy led
by the Soviet Union.
Because the East-West struggle
was the most important challenge for the West, Western values were from time to
time put aside, for example, to bring Francisco Franco’s authoritarian Spanish
regime into Western defence plans and to tolerate, on different occasions,
military juntas in NATO allies Greece and Turkey.
So, perhaps we should be
relaxed about the question of whether or not ‘the West’ exists. But, whether we
like it or not, this somewhat-amorphous concept intrudes on important national
and alliance decisions. Do the NATO allies need a renewed commitment to the
values underlying their alliance? Those countries around the world that
consider themselves part of ‘the West’ will be watching, as will those
countries and forces that are not part of this value cluster.
The challenge to the West comes
not just from Vladimir Putin’s aspirations to bring the Russian nation under a
common roof, centred in Moscow. It also comes from the Islamic State of Iraq
and Syria (ISIS), whose aspirations for attacking ‘the Western world’ make al
Qaeda’s approach to this task look modest indeed.
The answer to the question
offered here is that actions will speak louder than words. The NATO leaders
undoubtedly will utter all the right words to suggest that the heart and soul
of ‘the West’ remain alive and well. But will they find the right balance of
military enhancements, counter-terrorism cooperation, reassurance and creative
diplomacy to demonstrate that there is a ‘West’?
This is a task that will
require freshly-minted European courage, a clear US commitment to leadership of
both the transatlantic alliance and ‘the West,’ as well as collective
demonstrations of transatlantic trust and cohesion.
Stanley
R. Sloan (Twitter: @srs2_), formerly the Senior Specialist in International
Security Policy at the Congressional Research Service, teaches courses on
American power and transatlantic relations at Middlebury College in Vermont and
is an Associate Fellow at the Austrian Institute of European and Security
Policy. He writes for European Geostrategy in a personal capacity.
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