By
Ankit Panda
Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi doesn’t think so.
When
Al Qaeda announced in a video earlier this month that it would create an
affiliate in the Indian Subcontinent (AQIS), reactions focused mainly on the
implications for India — a country with a large Muslim population but a low
rate of extremist conversion overall. Given the country’s tradition of
religious pluralism (which has admittedly not always resulted in peaceful
outcomes), Islamic terror groups have traditionally faced some difficulty in
recruiting homegrown jihadis. Additionally, India’s domestic intelligence and
law enforcements agencies have demonstrated some competency in apprehending the
leaders of groups like the Indian Mujahideen. Similarly, while young jihadis
from across the region rush to join the new Islamic State in Iraq and Syria,
Indians remain conspicuously absent from official foreign fighter tallies. In
this context, it seems unlikely that AQIS will succeed within India.
The
political leadership in India seems to agree with that assertion as well. In
early clips from an interview with CNN‘s Fareed Zakaria (the full version of
which will be released later this weekend), Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi
discusses the chance that Al Qaeda will gain headway in India. In answering a
question about whether Al Qaeda will succeed in recruiting Indian Muslims, Modi
reflexively notes, “If anyone thinks Indian Muslims will dance to their tune,
they are delusional. Indian Muslims will live for India. They will die for
India. They will not want anything bad for India.”
Zakaria
then asks the prime minister why he thinks so few Indian Muslims have joined Al
Qaeda in the past. Somewhat dodging the question, Modi goes on to describe the
very act of terrorism as a ”crisis
against humanity, not a crisis against one country or one race. So we have to
frame this as a fight between humanity and inhumanity. Nothing else.”
Modi’s
comments were well received by leaders within India’s Muslim community. This is
particularly significant given that prior to his election as prime minister,
considerable anxiety and uncertainty persisted among India’s liberal elites
about how Modi, a known Hindu nationalist, would interact with and represent
the interests of India’s Muslim community. His critics regularly recalled his
role in tolerating, if not enabling, the 2002 Godhra riots in his home state of
Gujarat, during which hundreds of Muslims and Hindus perished. Cleric Mufti
Mukarram was one of the Muslim leaders who remarked that Modi’s comments were
positive: ”We welcome what PM Modi has said. PM’s remarks are a reply to those
accusing us of love jihad. PM’s remarks are a reply to those trying to create a
rift.”
For
the moment, Modi may end up being proven right, in part because AQIS will
likely continue to focus its operations and efforts against Islamabad, despite
Zawahiri’s declaration that the group will target Muslims as far east as
Myanmar in its recruitment efforts. For AQIS, gaining ground in India will
indeed prove difficult.
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